With the Ukrainian offensive under way for a fortnight, all eyes
are on the battlefields, and, crucially, Russias options ahead. In
a little over three weeks from now, the NATO will be holding a
summit in Vilnius and the West has choices to make too. We are
arriving at a fork in the road.
The NATO expected the Ukrainian forces to punch through key
Russian fortifications by now. In reality, they are struggling to
get anywhere near the sprawling layered fortifications and in that
desperate attempt, are taking massive losses, entrapped in
minefields and taken to pieces by Russian artillery and missiles
and the dreaded multi-role attack helicopters known as
Alligator.
The signposts are best seen in Russian President Vladimir
Putins Kremlin press
conference on Tuesday, lasting over three hours, with war
correspondents. In just a weeks time after Ukraines offensive
began, 2530 percent of the supplied equipment (from NATO)
has been destroyed, Putin said.
Putin underscored three things. First, the goals set for the
special military operations are fundamental for us because Ukraine
is part of the effort to destabilise Russia. What does
that mean?
It means Russian operations will not end without realising the
twin objectives of demilitarising Ukraine and uprooting the present
neo-Nazi regime in Kiev. The security and welfare of the Russian
population also remains a cardinal objective no more pogroms. Putin
said Russia is going about realising these objectives gradually,
methodically.
Second, Putin flagged: The Ukrainian defence industry will
soon cease to exist altogether. What do they produce?
Ammunition is delivered, equipment is delivered and weapons
are delivered everything is delivered. You wont live long
like that, you wont last. So, the issue
of demilitarisation is realised in very practical
terms.
Third, the Kremlins preference so far has been to continue to
grind down the Ukrainian military, whilst giving selective
responses whenever any red lines were crossed eg., Russian strikes
on Ukraines energy system, the destruction
of the headquarters of the Ukrainian military
intelligence. By the way, in that Kiev strike, Russia claims to
have seriously injured Ukraines spy chief Kyrylo Budanov, the
poster boy of western media.
Going forward, Putin said everything will depend on the
potential that is left at the end of this so-called c...